
Archive image of Honduran protester, taken July 2, 2009
Today interim President Roberto Micheletti has asked the Honduran people to forgive him and promised to remove the “state of exception” decree as soon as possible. This decree removed several constitutional rights, that the US recently called “inalienable”, echoing Jeffersonian language. These include habeas corpus, the right to free assembly, freedom of the press, freedom of movement, and freedom from unwarranted search and arrest.
From the beginning of the crisis, Hugo Chavez and Manuel Zelaya has been able to elicit self-defeating responses from the interim government. A few days before Zelaya was removed from office, he arbitrarily fired the head of the armed forces, and stormed the air force headquarters to “rescue” the ballots for a referendum seeking constitutional replacement. This was a direct provocation to the armed forces, congress and the supreme court to stage a coup against him. Nothing but a coup could give him the mandate to replace the Honduran constitution and “re-found Honduras”. He then spread the message to the media that a coup was being plotted against him, with Venezuelan media giving extensive coverage, several days before anything had happened.
The government responded predictably, falling into Zelaya’s trap. First they asked the population not to vote, saying that the referendum was illegal. Then the Supreme Court issued a warrant of arrest for Zelaya the morning the referendum was to take place. Even though their actions were legal, and justified by the constitution, deposing Zelaya was exactly what Chavez and Zelaya needed. Zelaya needed to play the victim, and had CNN poised to do just that. An hour after Zelaya was removed from Honduras, legally stripped of his office, his pleas were being broadcast around the world, drawing swift condemnation.
When the United States proposed a dialogue with Oscar Arias as a solution to the conflict, at first Zelaya accepted. But after a swift correction from Hugo Chavez, where he called the dialogue “dead before it began“, changed his position 180º. He expressed contempt that Arias would recieve a “criminal” like Micheletti, and gave Arias the ludicrous time limitation of 48 hours to get him back in office. And then….he got on his plane and left, hours before the arrival of Micheletti. He didn’t want dialogue. He didn’t want conditional restitution. He wanted to refound Honduras.
A few weeks later, Hugo Chavez lent a PDVSA plane to Zelaya, who used it to attempt to land in Toncontin Airport in Tegucigalpa. His goal: force the interim government to kill people. He set up his supporters in the line of fire with complete disdain for their safety. His plan didn’t go as desired, but someone was killed, a teenager named Isis Murillo. His death was not by a military bullet, but by one of Zelaya’s supporters. Nevertheless, the Zelaya camp has hailed this unfortunate young man as the first martyr of the “golpistas” (coupsters).
He then moved his offensive to the Nicaragua border. He said he would lead a group of his followers to Tegucigalpa, in an “apotheosis“. This forced Micheletti to begin the “toque de queda” or curfew, that has been much maligned my the media around the world. Once again, Micheletti fell in the trap. Zelaya was probably bluffing. He might have been able to enter Tegucigalpa triumphantly, but, his real intent was to force Micheletti to overreact and destroy his international credibility.
When his false attempt to return apparently failed, there was peace for a while in Honduras, but Zelaya went on a blitz on international trips, creating of chorus of international condemnation against Honduras. This was intended to get Micheletti to anger the world with his increasingly powerless responses. This also was largely successful.
Now Zelaya has returned, his riskiest action yet. But in returning, he is placing himself on the cross, and handing Micheletti the hammer and nails. He is daring him to crucify him and bring in the UN to rescue him, a glorious messiah, resurrected at the third month. He has spread the idea that Micheletti wants to martyr him, and call it a suicide; which is strangely akin to his wishes. He called his supporters to violently reinstate him, forcing Micheletti to create a decree that has, for the first time, created disunity in the Honduran opposition to Zelaya, and worse, creates the first credible threat to the legitimacy of the November elections.
What now? That is unclear. The decree will never pass in the congress. It will be repealed. What happens then depends greatly on what Chavez and Zelaya can get the UN or the OAS to do. Their manipulations are having worldwide ramifications. We need to think deeper, and see the motives for all of Chavez and Zelaya’s actions.
Image by José Luis Durón, used with a Creative Commons license.
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