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Zelaya Refuses to Participate in Unity Government

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Honduras, Politics | Posted on 06-11-2009
José Manuel Zelaya Rosales, Image by El Proceso Digital

José Manuel Zelaya Rosales, Image by El Proceso Digital

As he threatened in the past few days, because he was not restored to power, Manuel Zelaya is not participating in the unity government prescribed by the Tegucigalpa/San José accord. (For brevity, let’s call it the T/SJ accord). Micheletti has plowed forward with the unity government anyway, saying it represents a “broad political and ideological spectrum” of people. Expect trouble ahead.

The question is “now what?”. The US has stated that it will recognize whatever decision congress takes according to the T/SJ accord, but Congress hasn’t even voted yet, and has refused to speed up its vote, which in my opinion is unwise and counterproductive. But, the congressional deputies are much more worried about their reelection, in which they are counting on votes from the “resistance” and what I call the “pro-constitution” sides. Were Zelaya to be restored, the pro-constitution camp wouldn’t reelect them. If Zelaya weren’t restored, the resistance would boycott the election.

This is very foolish, not making a choice is already a choice, which is essentially the same as not restoring Zelaya. They should forget about the resistance vote from the outset and get done with it. In the time created by their selfish fears, Zelaya can open Pandora’s box and gleefully watch the T/SJ accord, and possibly the nation, go up in flames.

Zelaya insists that he should have been restored to power before the unity government was set up, and that Micheletti should not be leading it at all. He has called the T/SJ accord a “failure”, and a great portion of the media has parroted that line without any context whatsoever. Read this tiny Reuters article for instance; I complained to the editors about it. It fails to mention that Zelaya is refusing to participate in the unity government, much less why. I am not surprised, as this is exactly what I’ve come to expect from Reuters. Sadly it has millions of readers under-informed if not outright misled. The BBC article on the same topic, even though it says the same thing, fleshes out its report with both sides of the issue.

Blogger, the Caracas Gringo wrote a very complete analysis of the situation, from the perspective of a US citizen living in Venezuela. As he said “it still ain’t over ’til it’s over”.

Too Soon to Celebrate?

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Honduras, Politics | Posted on 30-10-2009

Most politicians in the Western hemisphere are celebrating Roberto Micheletti and Manuel Zelaya’s decision to sign the Guaymuras Accord. The key point of it is allowing the Honduran congress, with the supervision of the Supreme Court, to decide whether or not Zelaya is to be reinstated. But why are the left celebrating? Congress almost unanimously voted to depose Zelaya in June. It’s very premature to say Zelaya will be restored, unless the news aren’t telling the whole story.

Even in the Liberal party, the party that put Zelaya in power, most congressional deputees are against Zelaya’s restitution. The opposition party, the National party, is unanimous against him. In order for Zelaya to be restored, he would have to convince about 80% of congress or buy them. La Gringa wrote yesterday in her blog that the National Party is abstaining the vote, which to me is monumentally stupid. But even should they abstain, probability is against Zelaya’s return. Holed up in the Brazilian embassy, he simply doesn’t have the votes, or even something to offer the congressional deputees. Why is everyone celebrating?

But, there are two reasons to celebrate, the first is that the OAS, the United States, the European Union, France, Costa Rica and Panama have said they will now recognize the outcome of the November 29 elections. That is enough to throw the house out the window for joy, as we say in Latin America. The second is related: Chavez failed in making Honduras a satellite of his Bolivarian Socialist Revolution.

Chávez is probably having a very bad day. Yesterday he received letters from members of the US congress telling him they are proposing Venezuela be added to the “state sponsors of terrorism” list. His tirade against them is one of his most acerbic to date:

“¡Maldito imperio, mil veces maldito, algún día se hundirá en la historia negra! … ¡Te maldigo mil veces imperio yanqui!, no me importan nada los planes que tenga para conmigo”

“Accursed empire, a thousand times accursed, some day it wil sink into dark history! I curse you a thousand times Yankee empire, I don’t care anything for the plans it has against me”

As if that weren’t enough, Colombia and the US signed an agreement which gives them access to seven military bases in Colombia. I haven’t read a reaction from Chávez to this. He is probably brooding his anger, another explosion would only further damage his already severely weakened image in the world stage.

In Nicaragua, after their office of constitutional affairs, in a ridiculously transparent act of corruption, paved the way for indefinite reelection for ex-dictator Daniel Ortega, the opposition magistrates of the Nicaraguan supreme court have pronounced themselves against this. Oops. Too soon to celebrate, Chávez.

And then Honduras celebrates a “victory”. This is very bitter for Chávez, because his investment in Zelaya was not altruistic. He had much to gain in having an ally in Honduras, but now even in the remote chance that Zelaya would be restored, he would have to give up power in less than two months, and be replaced, according to current polls, by a much more capitalist Pepe Lobo.

As for me, even when the elections are recognized and Honduras returns to normal, the whole crisis has a very sour taste. I hope our flirt with disaster will shake up all the “oligarchy”, or better said the kleptocracy, that has continually robbed us. The prolonged rape of the people that the political elite, both left and right, has sustained in Honduras is far worse than the most monstrous imaginings of the wickedest pornographic movie director.

I have more faith in socialism than in people like Zelaya and Chávez, or even, –gasp–, presidential candidates Pepe Lobo and Elvin Santos. I have slightly more faith in capitalism, that in its greed, at least thrives on freedom. But it will be time for celebration only when corruption and ignorance are defeated in Honduras.

We’re Still Free

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 01-09-2009

While in Washington D.C., “His excellancy” (their typo, not mine) Manuel Zelaya will speak at George Washington University, the Alma Mater of Colin Powell and Jackqueline Kennedy Onassis. His topic: “Returning Honduras to Democracy and Constitutional Order”. This statement makes me see red, especially when I hear Oscar Arias or Obama repeat it or anyone imply that there is no democracy or constitutional order in Honduras.

The Honduran Constitution and our democracy have never been stronger.

Couldn’t democracy be defined as the rule of law combined with the will of the people? Who writes the laws? The Congress. Who interprets them? The Supreme Court. Who votes? The people.

If Congress and the Supreme court did not approve a referendum, and Zelaya disobeyed them, they had every Constitutional right and duty to remove him. The people have every right and duty to vote this November, but Zelaya, and the OAS want to stop them. Millions of Hondurans would erupt with anger if the US were to attack our elections together with them.

Isn’t it enough that the pro-Zelaya party is vandalizing the billboards that bear Liberal Party or Nationalist Party candidates? Normally I’d call the unsightly and ubiquitous signs visual pollution, but now, the presence of these signs and billboards show we are still free.

Those who attack our elections attack our freedom and democracy.

Image by Cissey Ye, used with a Creative Commons license

Predictable: Insulza Rejects Micheletti’s offer

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 28-08-2009

This piece of news is not surprising. Insulza rejected Micheletti’s proposal, -YAWN-.

Is This Real?

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 27-08-2009

Is this more misreporting or is Micheletti really offering to resign?

Zelaya Now Supports San Jose Accord Again

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 04-08-2009

Venezuelan news source El Universal has reported that Manuel Zelaya said today, during his visit to Mexico, that he will support the San Jose Accord if, and only if, he is restored to power. The San Jose Accord is the second proposal Oscar Arias presented in the Costa Rica talks. It contains a clause that would force Zelaya to drop his constitutional assembly project, or nullify the entire agreement. His delegation, led by Rixi Moncada, had refused to even consider the accord when it was read to them, and simply restated that the dialogues had failed days earlier.

Zelaya could say this, because at this moment, Micheletti is saying that he will never accept Zelaya’s return as president. But The New York Times published an article last week, that reported Micheletti saying exactly the opposite of this. This view apparently came from Micheletti’s aides. It would have been a masterstroke of strategy, in my opinion for Micheletti to support the accord.

Both opponents have only toyed with moving from their staunch positions. I doubt Zelaya will really want to be back without the guarantee of a constitutional assembly project. Micheletti will not accept Zelaya as president, but only as a citizen, precisely because he doesn’t trust him to drop the constitutional assembly project, and because he will probably start a vendetta against the Honduran congress and supreme court, his enemies, the moment he returns.

Chávez has not mentioned this yet, but he won’t say anything positive about the San Jose accord this time either. He is sure to say something though, he can never stay silent.

Image by Lauren, used with a Creative Commons license

Wise Move Micheletti!

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 29-07-2009

In a masterstroke of diplomacy, Micheletti has been reported by the New York Times as saying he supports Costa Rican President Oscar Arias’s second plan to defuse the Honduran crisis, but that he has been “unable to convince” the Honduran congress and supreme court to agree with it. The plan is unacceptable for Mel Zelaya and Hugo Chavez, because although it is very similar, it is much harder to subvert than the first version; It was no coincidence the two condemned it. Zelaya’s delegation didn’t even consider it, but immediately after having heard it, merely stated that they had already declared negotiations as failed days before.

This deftly brings to light a blunt fact the media refuses to acknowledge or report. I’ve said it on this blog, and repeat it once more: Zelaya doesn’t want to sign the Arias accord. A small but powerful clause was inserted by Arias in order to ease Micheletti’s credible fear that Zelaya would use the plan to get back into power, and then set up the constituent assembly anyway. The clause states Zelaya would have to relinquish his plan of a Constitutional Assembly, or the entire agreement would be declared void. If it were declared void, Zelaya’s amnesty would vanish in a puff of smoke, and he could be imprisoned.

Because of this, Micheletti knows Zelaya will never support the Arias accord, and that is only wearing an increasingly uncomfortable sheepskin to cover his ravenous appetite for power.

Image by Michael Agustin, used with a Creative Commons license

Press Freedom During Honduran Crisis

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 29-07-2009

Al Jazeera’s Nicholas Muirhead emailed me Monday, to my great surprise. In the last few years, they have sought to establish themselves as a serious alternative news source, and clean up their image after being associated unfavorably with Al Qaeda.

Al Jazeera has a section on its website called The Listening Post in which they publish reports that are created from videos sent by users. Mr. Muirhead told me they are preparing a report on the overthrow of Manuel Zelaya’s government, and that someone recommended me to comment on it, because I had recently been to Honduras.

The questions he asked me to answer are below. Watch out for subtle red-flag words such as “kidnap”, and “coup” that could skew users’ answers.

  1. Following Zelaya’s kidnap, what steps did the opposition take to control the media?
  2. What has Zelaya’s relationship been with Honduran media? How much influence does he wield over the media?
  3. How fair/accurate has international media coverage of the Honduras coup been?

Mr. Muirhead asked me to explain my point of view thoroughly, but apologized that my answers will probably be edited down to 30 seconds in order to fit the program’s format. Answering each question with two or three sentences took twenty seconds each!

To do myself justice, I uploaded the above four-minute video to YouTube. The topic is not the Honduran crisis as a whole, but only the media’s role in it.

Conversations With Hondurans

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 27-07-2009

During my three-day visit to Honduras, I had conversations with many people, several taxi drivers, hardware store employees, fellow passengers, family members, random strangers, Hondurans, gringos, all very talkative, all very relaxed, but only one was critical of the new government. Of course, I expected my parents, who are staunch nationalists, to support Micheletti, but my conversations with supporters of the Liberal party were the most interesting. As my trip coincided with Zelaya’s multiple attempts to break in to the country, I expected people to be nervous, and angry. But the great majority of the people I saw were remarkably detached from the political crisis.

When I arrived at San Pedro Sula airport, the air of normality was almost surreal. Everyone went about their business without sign of emotion, and the military were notably absent. Only a small group of police were chatting in a corner, unconcerned. An accountant friend of mine was at the airport Friday, and told me he had originally opposed the “coup, for it was a coup, you know. But after seeing the theatrics of Zelaya, I changed my mind, and begin to think we are better off without him.” On Saturday, while waiting in line at a bank in La Ceiba, the people there were curious about Mexico and Monterrey, but no one talked about Zelaya even in passing. They looked cheerful and at peace.

But between these two anecdotes, I saw a feeble sign of trouble in the country. On Friday a group of thirty Zelaya supporters had blocked the highway into La Ceiba, and were facing an equal group of police in riot gear. I was forced to walk across the protest to get to my dad’s car, a few hundred yards ahead. But no one seemed very angry. No stones were thrown. No tear gas canisters were fired. Everyone was simply standing there, some joking around. A lady was selling “cold water, tamarindo juice, Coca-Cola” as naturally as if the protest were simply a group of shoppers at a local market.

At first I was afraid to take pictures, but my camera barely drew the glance of the police. In contrast, yesterday a security officer in Mexico City airport stopped me taking pictures there, but at this protest everything was surreally peaceful.

Since my luggage never arrived, on Saturday I was forced to buy a new suit, which needed alterations. I had barely hours left before the ceremony and I had to run to catch a cab. Just as I got in, a major rainstorm began, with winds strong enough to uproot small trees. The cab driver and I roamed all over the center of La Ceiba looking for a tailor. We asked a lady selling tortillas under a beach umbrella at the market for directions, and finally found a rundown tailor’s shop in the northwest corner of downtown.

The walls of the shop were of wood, the roof of tin. Inside were a picture of Barack Obama, an old clock, curtains separating the living quarters, and windows without glass, or even screens to keep mosquitoes out. Four apprentices worked in dark and cramped conditions, with worn electric sewing machines. All of them were Garifuna (a mixture of Carib indian and African). A radio talk show provided the background noise. Santiago was the tailor’s name, and he promptly measured me for the alterations to the suit, and told me to be back in an hour.

When I returned, the suit wasn’t ready, because the storm had knocked out power, and the apprentices were sowing it by hand. So we whiled away the time chatting about this and that, and finally the conversation turned to Zelaya.

The tailor told me he was sad that the country was so polarized, and that Zelaya was being kept out of the country by the “golpistas” (coupsters). He said that he was also disappointed that all the news channels were publishing pro-interim-government stories. He said that from the day Zelaya took office, the news was all against him.

I wasn’t very surprised to learn that his major sources of news were CNN and Telesur. I suggested he read Tiempo instead, since it is a local news source critical of Micheletti’s government, but much more truthful.

I told him an experience of mine a few years ago. My boss being wrongly accused of fraud by Zelaya’s protegè, Marcelo Chimirri, who, with the support of the government, sent the district attorney, a crowd of Hondutel employees, policemen with automatic weapons and local news cameras into our office claiming that they had caught a crime “in fraganti”, and that they would take away all the computers, telephones, faxes, and even the television, claiming that they had been obtained with the proceeds of an illegal act.

We were innocent, and successfully sued the government. We got some of our computers back, a year later. But when the outcry against Chimirri was reaching its climax, Zelaya came in and defended him, even when it was very clear that he was the guilty party.

The tailor didn’t have much to say to this, except that corruption is everywhere. I agreed with him, and echoed his earlier complaint about Honduras being polarized (something straight out of a Telesur broadcast, by the way). I told him that we Hondurans should be united, and be at peace, which we both agreed.

When the suit was done I thanked him, and told him I would be coming back next time I needed a tailor. We parted in friendship, which to me was very important.

All in all, Hondurans are very peaceful, and hobbit-like. We tend to face whatever problem we have with a blasè attitude that can be irritating to outsiders. But this is one of our great strengths.

Footage of Arias’s San Jose Proposal

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Posted by Aaron Ortiz | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 22-07-2009

Sadly these videos don’t show Rixi Moncada’s comments, nor those of the Micheletti delegation. Those were the most interesting parts of the talks, in my opinion.

Parts 1 and 2:

Parts 3 and 4:

Parts 5 and 6:

Parts 7 through 10:

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